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Expected value calculator

Enter Pinnacle's fair price (the true line) and the price your book is offering. When the book is worse than Pinnacle — where most retail prices sit — your EV is negative.

Pinnacle fair
Book odds
Stake $
Expected value vs Pinnacle
-4.81%
EV on stake
−$4.81
True prob · Pinnacle
51.9%
Book implies
54.5%
The book is priced worse than Pinnacle’s fair line. You’re paying the gap — where most retail bets quietly sit.

The numbers check out. Now let SharpLine run them live.

SharpLine runs this math against every sportsbook, every minute, anchored to Pinnacle's fair line.

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